Sarmiento de La BandavsDefensores de Vilelas

Sarmiento de La Banda are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Defensores de Vilelas are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento de La Banda hold a 3.8-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 49.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.4% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sarmiento de La Banda holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.