GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 5/25/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sarmiento de La Banda · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento de La Banda are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Boca Unidos are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sarmiento de La Banda hold a 6.7-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 46.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 18.8% in the Torneo Federal A, while Sarmiento de La Banda holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sarmiento de La Banda

Probability

42.8%

Model confidence

18.8%

Sarmiento de La Banda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento de La BandaWLLDD

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Boca UnidosDLDWD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento de La BandaBoca Unidos
33.3Attack42.6
70.4Defence51.9
50.0Form40.7
53.0Power46.3
1.06xG0.68
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