GGOALVIO

Argentina · Torneo Federal A · 6/28/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sarmiento de La Banda are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.00 conceded, while Bartolomé Mitre are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Bartolomé Mitre hold a 2.3-point power-rating edge (53.0 v 55.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 41.1% in the Torneo Federal A, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 14% BTTS chance and 6% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

50.7%

Model confidence

41.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarmiento de La BandaWWWWW

GF 8 · GA 0 · avg 1.60/0.00

BTTS 0/5O2.5 1/5
Bartolomé MitreDDWLW

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sarmiento de La BandaBartolomé Mitre
33.3Attack25.9
70.4Defence83.3
50.0Form50.0
53.0Power55.2
0.48xG0.43
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