Sarmiento de La Bandavs
9 de Julio Rafaela
COMPLETEDArgentina · Torneo Federal A · 9/6/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarmiento de La Banda · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sarmiento de La Banda 0-0 9 de Julio Rafaela, with an exact score probability of 18%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarmiento de La Banda 1-4 9 de Julio Rafaela
Original prediction
Sarmiento de La Banda
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.85 | 49.2% | 42.2% | -7.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.06 | 29.7% | 30.2% | 0.5 pts |
| Away | 4.30 | 21.1% | 27.6% | 6.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-7.0 pts
Projected Score
Sarmiento de La Banda 0–0 9 de Julio Rafaela
Exact score probability: 18%
Predicted outcome
Sarmiento de La Banda
Probability
42.2%
Model confidence
42.2%
Sarmiento de La Banda has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60