GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 6/28/2026, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Istiqlol · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sardor Tursunzoda are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Istiqlol are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Istiqlol hold a 30.6-point power-rating edge (38.2 v 68.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Istiqlol holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 36% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Istiqlol

Probability

50.6%

Model confidence

50.6%

Istiqlol has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sardor TursunzodaDLLLL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
IstiqlolWDWWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sardor TursunzodaIstiqlol
47.6Attack38.5
38.1Defence89.7
23.8Form71.8
38.2Power68.7
0.70xG1.44
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