Sardarapatvs
Syunik
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 8/31/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sardarapat · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (11%), 3-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sardarapat 3-1 Syunik
Original prediction
Sardarapat
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:07 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.82 | 49.8% | 58.2% | 8.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.0% | 22.2% | -3.8 pts |
| Away | 3.73 | 24.3% | 19.5% | -4.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.82 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–011%
- 2.3–010%
- 3.2–110%
Predicted outcome
Sardarapat
Probability
58.2%
Model confidence
58.2%
Sardarapat has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00
GF 3 · GA 11 · avg 0.60/2.20