Sardarapatvs
Pyunik Yerevan
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/9/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pyunik Yerevan · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sardarapat 2-4 Pyunik Yerevan
Original prediction
Pyunik Yerevan
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.19 | 14.7% | 31.4% | 16.8 pts |
| Draw | 4.03 | 22.5% | 25.8% | 3.3 pts |
| Away | 1.45 | 62.8% | 42.8% | -20.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.45 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-20.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Pyunik Yerevan
Probability
42.8%
Model confidence
42.8%
Pyunik Yerevan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20
GF 9 · GA 3 · avg 1.80/0.60