Sardarapatvs
FC Urartu
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/22/2026, 3:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Urartu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (9%), 1-2 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sardarapat 0-0 FC Urartu
Original prediction
FC Urartu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:53 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.60 | 25.0% | 30.5% | 5.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 23.0% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.82 | 49.6% | 46.5% | -3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.56 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–19%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
FC Urartu
Probability
46.5%
Model confidence
46.5%
FC Urartu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 11 · GA 9 · avg 2.20/1.80