Sardarapatvs
FC Noah
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 10/11/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FC Noah · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sardarapat 1-5 FC Noah
Original prediction
FC Noah
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 20 September 2026 at 20:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 9.29 | 9.8% | 16.9% | 7.2 pts |
| Draw | 5.42 | 16.7% | 20.1% | 3.4 pts |
| Away | 1.23 | 73.5% | 63.0% | -10.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.23 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-10.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–210%
- 2.0–210%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
FC Noah
Probability
63.0%
Model confidence
63.0%
FC Noah has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 14 · GA 4 · avg 2.80/0.80