Sardarapatvs
Alashkert
COMPLETEDArmenia · Premier League · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Alashkert · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sardarapat 1-1 Alashkert
Original prediction
Alashkert
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 6.77 | 13.3% | 23.8% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.28 | 21.0% | 23.2% | 2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.37 | 65.8% | 53.0% | -12.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.28 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Alashkert
Probability
53.0%
Model confidence
53.0%
Alashkert has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 11 · GA 2 · avg 2.20/0.40