Sarasota Paradisevs
Westchester SC
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 10/24/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarasota Paradise · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarasota Paradise 2-2 Westchester SC
Original prediction
Sarasota Paradise
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 24 September 2026 at 18:34 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.69 | 53.3% | 41.1% | -12.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.88 | 23.2% | 26.2% | 3.1 pts |
| Away | 3.81 | 23.6% | 32.7% | 9.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.88 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-12.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Sarasota Paradise
Probability
41.1%
Model confidence
41.1%
Sarasota Paradise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 10 · avg 2.80/2.00
GF 9 · GA 5 · avg 1.80/1.00