GGOALVIO

USA · USL League One · 6/13/2026, 11:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Omaha · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Sarasota Paradise are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Omaha are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Omaha hold a 25.3-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 64.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.5% in the USL League One, while Union Omaha holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 42% BTTS chance and 44% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Omaha

Probability

59.5%

Model confidence

59.5%

Union Omaha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sarasota ParadiseLWWWL

GF 7 · GA 5 · avg 1.40/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union OmahaLWWWW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sarasota ParadiseUnion Omaha
31.6Attack56.7
47.4Defence63.3
31.6Form68.3
39.4Power64.7
0.69xG1.77
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