Sarasota Paradisevs
Spokane Velocity
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/5/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Spokane Velocity · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (12%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarasota Paradise 1-1 Spokane Velocity
Original prediction
Spokane Velocity
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.90 | 30.7% | 25.8% | -4.9 pts |
| Draw | 2.97 | 30.0% | 25.9% | -4.0 pts |
| Away | 2.26 | 39.4% | 48.3% | 8.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 1.97 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–112%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Spokane Velocity
Probability
48.3%
Model confidence
48.3%
Spokane Velocity has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40