Sarasota Paradisevs
Portland Hearts of Pine
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 3/28/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Portland Hearts of Pine · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Sarasota Paradise are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Portland Hearts of Pine are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Portland Hearts of Pine hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 44.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.5% in the USL League One, while Portland Hearts of Pine holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Portland Hearts of Pine
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
13.5%
Portland Hearts of Pine has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80