Sarasota ParadisevsOne Knoxville

Sarasota Paradise are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while One Knoxville are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and One Knoxville hold a 23.2-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 62.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.8% in the USL League One, while One Knoxville holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 45% for over 2.5 goals.