Sarasota Paradisevs
Greenville Triumph
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 9/19/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sarasota Paradise · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sarasota Paradise 6-0 Greenville Triumph
Original prediction
Sarasota Paradise
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:12 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.19 | 40.9% | 42.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.1% | 25.8% | -1.3 pts |
| Away | 2.79 | 32.0% | 31.8% | -0.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.19 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.0–010%
Predicted outcome
Sarasota Paradise
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Sarasota Paradise has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80