Sarasota Paradisevs
Fort Wayne
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 3/14/2026, 11:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fort Wayne · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sarasota Paradise are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Fort Wayne are 0W-0D-2L in their last 2 (LL), averaging 0.50 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fort Wayne hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 51.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.9% in the USL League One, while Fort Wayne holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 40% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fort Wayne
Probability
45.9%
Model confidence
45.9%
Fort Wayne has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20
GF 1 · GA 4 · avg 0.50/2.00