Sarasota Paradisevs
Corpus Christi
COMPLETEDUSA · USL League One · 4/22/2026, 10:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Corpus Christi · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sarasota Paradise are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Corpus Christi are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corpus Christi hold an 8.6-point power-rating edge (39.4 v 48.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.2% in the USL League One, while Corpus Christi holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Corpus Christi
Probability
38.2%
Model confidence
38.2%
Corpus Christi has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00