GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/5/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sao Raimundo are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Manauara are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWDLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Manauara hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (50.8 v 66.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 34.0% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 19% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

45.8%

Model confidence

34.0%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sao RaimundoDLLWW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
ManauaraLWDLW

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sao RaimundoManauara
33.3Attack42.9
75.0Defence81.0
41.7Form69.0
50.8Power66.8
0.49xG0.62
View match centre →