Sao Paulovs
Puerto Cabello
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 4/19/2023, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sao Paulo · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sao Paulo are 2W-1D-1L in their last 4 (LDWW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Puerto Cabello are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 9 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold a 21.4-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 42.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Sao Paulo holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sao Paulo
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Sao Paulo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/0.50
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80