Sao Paulovs
Millonarios
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 5/20/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sao Paulo are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Millonarios are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWWDD), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Paulo hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (64.0 v 55.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.5% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 25% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.5%
Model confidence
40.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20