Sao Paulovs
Boca Juniors
COMPLETEDWorld · CONMEBOL Sudamericana · 9/16/2026, 12:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sao Paulo 0-0 Boca Juniors, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sao Paulo 1-1 Boca Juniors
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 1 September 2026 at 15:55 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.24 | 41.9% | 36.0% | -5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.08 | 30.5% | 32.0% | 1.5 pts |
| Away | 3.40 | 27.7% | 32.0% | 4.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 2.08 · Draw 2.08 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.5 pts
Projected Score
Sao Paulo 0–0 Boca Juniors
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
32.0%
Model confidence
36.0%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sao PauloLLWWL
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 0.80/1.00
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Boca JuniorsWWDDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Sao PauloBoca Juniors
37.0Attack60.0
85.2Defence86.7
59.3Form80.0
62.2Power75.4
0.80xG0.78