Maranhense - 2Maranhense - 2
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 10:05
Sao Luis

Sao Luis

Home
L
01
Full time
Pinheiro

Pinheiro

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
39% confidence
Sao Luis(37%)
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Pinheiro
Win probability
Sao Luis
37%
Draw
35%
Pinheiro
28%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Sao Luis
9
Pinheiro
34
Defence
Sao Luis
66
Pinheiro
91
Momentum
Sao Luis
0
Pinheiro
100
Danger (xG)
Sao Luis
0.00
Pinheiro
0.90
Both teams to score
No
Over 2.5 goals
No
xG for (Sao Luis)
0.00
avg per match
xG for (Pinheiro)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Sao Luis)
0.90
avg per match
xG against (Pinheiro)
0.00
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Sao LuisSao Luis
L
PinheiroPinheiro
W

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Sao Luis37%
Draw35%
Pinheiro28%

Sao Luis leads with 37% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Match insights

Sao Luis head into this in Maranhense - 2 fixture in mixed form (L), while Pinheiro arrive in mixed form (W). Sao Luis have a 0% win rate across their last 1 matches, compared to 100% for Pinheiro over 1 games.

Both sides are defensively strong — Sao Luis (66/100) and Pinheiro (91/100) are both rated highly at the back. The model expects a tight, low-scoring affair with defences on top.

Sao Luis have struggled at home recently, failing to win any of their last 1 home games. They average 0.0 goals scored and 1.0 conceded per home match. Pinheiro have been excellent on the road, winning all 1 of their recent away fixtures and averaging 1.0 goals scored and 0.0 conceded per away game.

Pinheiro have dominated recent head-to-head meetings, winning 1 of the last 1 encounters, averaging 1.0 goals per game.

The GoalVio engine projects Sao Luis to win with 39% confidence. and a most likely scoreline of 1-0. Win probabilities: Sao Luis 3740%, Draw 3500%, Pinheiro 2760%. BTTS: No, Over 2.5: No.

Head to head

Sao Luis 0Draws 01 Pinheiro
Avg goals: 1.0
15 Jul 2026
Sao Luis
L01
Pinheiro

Recent form

Sao Luis

Sao Luis

L
vs Pinheiro
15 Jul 2026
01
Pinheiro

Pinheiro

W
@ Sao Luis
15 Jul 2026
10

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Sao Luis vs Pinheiro?

GoalVio's model predicts Sao Luis to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Sao Luis vs Pinheiro?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Sao Luis vs Pinheiro?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Sao Luis vs Pinheiro?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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