Sao Josevs
Goiatuba EC
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie D · 8/26/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Sao Jose 0-0 Goiatuba EC, with an exact score probability of 34%.
Prediction record
Final result
Sao Jose 0-0 Goiatuba EC
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:49 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.30 | 39.0% | 22.7% | -16.2 pts |
| Draw | 2.73 | 32.9% | 36.5% | 3.6 pts |
| Away | 3.19 | 28.1% | 40.8% | 12.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.73 · Draw 1.73 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.6 pts
Projected Score
Sao Jose 0–0 Goiatuba EC
Exact score probability: 34%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
36.5%
Model confidence
40.8%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Sao JoseLDLWD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Goiatuba ECDDWWW
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sao JoseGoiatuba EC
22.2Attack40.7
68.5Defence79.6
42.6Form63.0
47.1Power62.7
0.36xG0.74