GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/25/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Sao Jose are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Brasil DE Pelotas are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Jose hold a 7.3-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 43.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

46.8%

Model confidence

36.1%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sao JoseLLLLD

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Brasil DE PelotasWLWWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sao JoseBrasil DE Pelotas
23.5Attack30.0
74.5Defence60.0
45.1Form33.3
50.6Power43.3
0.64xG0.41
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