Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sao Jose are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Blumenau are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Blumenau hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (50.6 v 60.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.1% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 9% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
52.1%
Model confidence
52.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80