Sao Joao del Reivs
Paracatu
COMPLETEDBrazil · Mineiro - 3 · 10/9/2026, 9:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Paracatu · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Sao Joao del Rei 1-0 Paracatu
Original prediction
Paracatu
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 9 October 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.74 | 24.2% | 34.7% | 10.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 27.0% | 28.3% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 1.86 | 48.8% | 37.0% | -11.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-11.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–09%
Predicted outcome
Paracatu
Probability
37.0%
Model confidence
37.0%
Paracatu has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00