Sao CarlosvsMatonense

Sao Carlos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Matonense are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Matonense hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 62.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.3% in the Paulista Série B, while Matonense holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.