GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 6/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Mediumconfidence

Sao Carlos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independente SP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Independente SP

Probability

59.3%

Model confidence

11.9%

Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sao CarlosDWLDL

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Independente SPLWWWW

GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Sao CarlosIndependente SP
52.8Attack88.2
61.1Defence78.4
41.7Form76.5
49.8Power74.1
0.83xG1.82
View match centre →