Sao Carlosvs
Independente SP
COMPLETEDBrazil · Paulista Série B · 6/13/2026, 6:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Independente SP · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1
Sao Carlos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Independente SP are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Independente SP hold a 24.2-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 74.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.9% in the Paulista Série B, while Independente SP holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Independente SP
Probability
59.3%
Model confidence
11.9%
Independente SP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
GF 12 · GA 3 · avg 2.40/0.60