GGOALVIO

Brazil · Paulista Série B · 5/30/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Sao Carlos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Mediumconfidence

Sao Carlos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Grêmio Catanduvense are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 3.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Sao Carlos hold a 46.4-point power-rating edge (49.8 v 3.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.0% in the Paulista Série B, while Sao Carlos holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Sao Carlos

Probability

85.6%

Model confidence

15.0%

Sao Carlos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Sao CarlosLDLLW

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Grêmio CatanduvenseLLLLL

GF 4 · GA 16 · avg 0.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Sao CarlosGrêmio Catanduvense
52.8Attack13.3
61.1Defence0.0
41.7Form0.0
49.8Power3.4
3.05xG0.50
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