Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Sao Bento have no completed matches on record, with no goal data yet, while Mirassol are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 5 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Mirassol hold an 11.2-point power-rating edge (34.2 v 45.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.3% in the Copa Paulista, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 28% BTTS chance and 19% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 0 · GA 0 · avg 0.00/0.00
GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40