Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Gremio W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santos W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LDWLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded, while Gremio W are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Gremio W hold a 6.5-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 54.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.8% in the Brasileiro Women, while Gremio W holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Gremio W
Probability
39.3%
Model confidence
15.8%
Gremio W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00