GGOALVIO

Brazil · Brasileiro Women · 3/12/2023, 2:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ferroviaria W · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santos W are 1W-1D-0L in their last 2 (DW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.50 conceded, while Ferroviaria W are 2W-0D-0L in their last 2 (WW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.50 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 4 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ferroviaria W hold a 12.5-point power-rating edge (48.1 v 60.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 36.2% in the Brasileiro Women, while Ferroviaria W holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 34% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ferroviaria W

Probability

36.2%

Model confidence

36.2%

Ferroviaria W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos WDW

GF 4 · GA 1 · avg 2.00/0.50

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Ferroviaria WWW

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 3.00/1.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Santos WFerroviaria W
40.0Attack44.4
57.8Defence73.3
44.4Form60.0
48.1Power60.6
0.68xG1.07
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