Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
14%
MediumconfidenceSantos are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LWDWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Mirassol are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and power ratings are near level at 43.9 against 45.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Serie A, favouring Santos with 13.9% confidence, a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
41.0%
Model confidence
13.9%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SantosLWDWD
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
MirassolLLDWD
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
SantosMirassol
46.0Attack38.1
44.4Defence52.4
34.9Form36.5
43.9Power45.3
1.40xG1.16