Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos 1-1 Mirassol
Original prediction
Santos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 20 August 2026 at 00:23 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.3-draw-refit.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–110%
- 3.1–010%
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
52.0%
Model confidence
52.0%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
SantosDWWLW
GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
MirassolDLDLL
GF 3 · GA 10 · avg 0.60/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
SantosMirassol
48.5Attack37.9
47.0Defence47.0
37.9Form34.8
46.0Power42.7
1.67xG1.09