Santosvs
Fluminense
COMPLETEDBrazil · Serie A · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fluminense · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Santos are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fluminense are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fluminense hold a 13.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.3% in the Serie A, while Fluminense holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fluminense
Probability
43.3%
Model confidence
43.3%
Fluminense has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20