GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 3/15/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Corinthians · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Santos are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Corinthians are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Corinthians hold a 9.3-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 53.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.0% in the Serie A, while Corinthians holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Corinthians

Probability

38.0%

Model confidence

38.0%

Corinthians has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

SantosDWLDL

GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
CorinthiansLDWWL

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
SantosCorinthians
46.0Attack36.4
44.4Defence69.7
34.9Form48.5
43.9Power53.2
0.87xG1.14
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