Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Santos are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Blooming are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santos hold a 36.6-point power-rating edge (61.1 v 24.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 79.1% in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, while Santos holds the strongest overall chance at 79% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
79.1%
Model confidence
79.1%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00