SantosvsAtletico-MG

Santos are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.