SantosvsAtletico-MG

Santos are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.20 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLW), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Atletico-MG hold a 6.2-point power-rating edge (43.9 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.6% in the Serie A, while Atletico-MG holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.