Santosvs
Alianza Universidad
SCHEDULEDPeru · Segunda División · 8/17/2026, 8:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Santos are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Alianza Universidad are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Alianza Universidad hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (49.4 v 52.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 25.1% in the Segunda División, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 17% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
40.1%
Model confidence
25.1%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60