Santosvs
Academia Cantolao
COMPLETEDPeru · Segunda División · 10/17/2026, 8:15:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-0 (12%), 1-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos 1-1 Academia Cantolao
Original prediction
Santos
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 2 October 2026 at 12:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.63 | 55.2% | 65.0% | 9.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.58 | 25.1% | 20.0% | -5.1 pts |
| Away | 4.56 | 19.7% | 14.9% | -4.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.58 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
9.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–012%
- 2.1–011%
- 3.1–110%
Predicted outcome
Santos
Probability
65.0%
Model confidence
65.0%
Santos has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20
GF 7 · GA 11 · avg 1.40/2.20