GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 2/21/2026, 3:06:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santos Laguna W are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos Laguna WWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Toluca WDLWWW

GF 12 · GA 6 · avg 2.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santos Laguna WToluca W
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power94.8
1.37xG2.19
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