GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 7/7/2024, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santos Laguna W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Toluca W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWWLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos Laguna WWLLLL

GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WWWWLL

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santos Laguna WToluca W
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power94.8
1.37xG2.19
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