GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/3/2023, 3:10:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Toluca W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santos Laguna W are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (DLDLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 3.00 conceded, while Toluca W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Toluca W hold a 52.2-point power-rating edge (42.7 v 94.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 52.3% in the Liga MX Femenil, while Toluca W holds the strongest overall chance at 52% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Toluca W

Probability

52.3%

Model confidence

52.3%

Toluca W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos Laguna WDLDLL

GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 0.60/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Toluca WLWWLL

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Santos Laguna WToluca W
33.3Attack100.0
33.3Defence83.3
50.0Form100.0
42.7Power94.8
1.37xG2.19
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