GGOALVIO

Mexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/2/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santos Laguna W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Santos Laguna W 1-0 Puebla W

Original prediction

Santos Laguna W

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 09:51 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.20-1.40
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.3667.1%57.6%-9.5 pts
Draw4.9718.3%18.3%-0.0 pts
Away6.2514.6%24.1%9.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.36 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-9.5 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–18%
  2. 2.2–27%
  3. 3.3–17%

Predicted outcome

Santos Laguna W

Probability

57.6%

Model confidence

57.6%

Santos Laguna W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos Laguna WLWWLW

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Puebla WLLLLW

GF 9 · GA 16 · avg 1.80/3.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Santos Laguna WPuebla W
44.4Attack48.1
25.9Defence0.0
44.4Form11.1
41.3Power21.0
2.69xG1.84
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