Santos Laguna Wvs
León W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 10/27/2026, 1:06:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
León W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna W 1-2 León W
Original prediction
León W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 September 2026 at 02:45 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.78 | 23.9% | 28.1% | 4.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.76 | 24.0% | 21.7% | -2.3 pts |
| Away | 1.74 | 52.0% | 50.2% | -1.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.74 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.9 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–17%
Predicted outcome
León W
Probability
50.2%
Model confidence
50.2%
León W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Santos Laguna WDWLWW
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
León WDWLLW
GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60
BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Santos Laguna WLeón W
39.4Attack54.5
39.4Defence45.5
48.5Form48.5
45.3Power49.9
1.40xG1.87