Santos Laguna Wvs
Cruz Azul W
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX Femenil · 9/22/2026, 1:06:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Cruz Azul W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-2 (8%), 2-1 (7%), 1-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna W 2-0 Cruz Azul W
Original prediction
Cruz Azul W
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 8 September 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.49 | 25.9% | 38.4% | 12.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.66 | 24.7% | 21.7% | -3.0 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.4% | 39.9% | -9.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–28%
- 2.2–17%
- 3.1–17%
Predicted outcome
Cruz Azul W
Probability
39.9%
Model confidence
39.9%
Cruz Azul W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40