Santos Lagunavs
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 10/22/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Santos Laguna · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna 2-0 U.N.A.M. - Pumas
Original prediction
Santos Laguna
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 September 2026 at 16:10 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.25 | 41.5% | 39.8% | -1.6 pts |
| Draw | 3.48 | 26.7% | 28.3% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 2.93 | 31.8% | 31.8% | 0.0 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.25 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–08%
Predicted outcome
Santos Laguna
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Santos Laguna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 4 · avg 2.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20