Santos Lagunavs
Tigres UANL
COMPLETEDMexico · Liga MX · 8/30/2026, 3:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Tigres UANL · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Santos Laguna 0-0 Tigres UANL
Original prediction
Tigres UANL
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.20 | 22.2% | 28.0% | 5.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.75 | 24.9% | 24.5% | -0.4 pts |
| Away | 1.77 | 52.9% | 47.5% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.75 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Tigres UANL
Probability
47.5%
Model confidence
47.5%
Tigres UANL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80