GGOALVIO

Santos Laguna logoSantos LagunavsTigres UANL logoTigres UANL

SCHEDULED

Mexico · Liga MX · 8/30/2026, 3:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Tigres UANL · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Santos Laguna are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Tigres UANL are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tigres UANL hold a 10.3-point power-rating edge (19.2 v 29.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.6% in the Liga MX, while Tigres UANL holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Tigres UANL

Probability

39.4%

Model confidence

11.6%

Tigres UANL has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos LagunaWLLLL

GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Tigres UANLDDDLD

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
Santos LagunaTigres UANL
22.2Attack55.6
22.2Defence11.1
0.0Form11.1
19.2Power29.5
1.54xG1.66
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