GGOALVIO

World · Leagues Cup · 7/26/2023, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Santos Laguna · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Santos Laguna are 1W-1D-2L in their last 4 (LDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.50 conceded, while Houston Dynamo are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLDL), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 9 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Houston Dynamo hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (39.0 v 42.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.8% in the Leagues Cup, while Santos Laguna holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Santos Laguna

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

35.8%

Santos Laguna has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Santos LagunaLDWL

GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 1.00/1.50

BTTS 2/4O2.5 2/4
Houston DynamoDDLDL

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Santos LagunaHouston Dynamo
33.3Attack33.3
44.4Defence58.3
33.3Form25.0
39.0Power42.1
1.37xG1.25
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